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Super Tuesday 2012 on Intrade

Trading statistics on the Super Tuesday 2012 for the following events: Alaska Caucus, Georgia Primary, Idaho Caucus, Massachusetts Primary, North Dakota Caucus, Ohio Primary, Oklahoma Primary, Tennessee Primary, Vermont Primary, Virginia Primary and "Romney, Santorum, Gingrich and Paul to each win at least one Super Tuesday contest".

Name Value Description
Markets involved 155 Total number of markets listed on Intrade for this event
Correct Predictions 103 Number of markets where Intrade predicted correct outcome.
Calculated by comparing previous days close price with final settlement of each market.
We had previous day close prices for 112 markets.
Incorrect Predictions 9
  • Mitt Romney to win the 2012 North Dakota Caucus
  • Rick Santorum to win the 2012 North Dakota Caucus
  • Ron Paul to finish second in the 2012 Alaska Caucus
  • Rick Santorum to finish second in the 2012 Idaho Caucus
  • Ron Paul to finish second in the 2012 Idaho Caucus
  • Ron Paul to finish third in the 2012 Idaho Caucus
  • Ron Paul to finish third in the 2012 Massachusetts Primary
  • Mitt Romney to finish third in the 2012 North Dakota Caucus
  • Mitt Romney to win the Virginia primary by 30 percentage points or more
Intrade's Predictive Accuracy 92.0% 103/112 * 100
Traded Shares 158,675 Total number of shares traded
Traded $ $1,586,750 Traded in USD (1 share ~ $10.00 transaction)
Number of Trades 18,629
Number of Traders 780 Unique buyers and sellers
Greatest Profit +$9,030 Trade P/L + Expiry P/L
Greatest Loss -$4,706 Trade P/L + Expiry P/L

Generated on Mar 08, 2012.

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